What about the German economy? In the opinion of the citizens not very good. In recent months, the proportion of those who are pessimistic about the future is increasing. Women and AfD supporters are among the biggest concerns.
The Germans are increasingly pessimistic about the economic development in their own country. 56 percent expect economic conditions to worsen in the coming years, as the current RTL / n-tv Trend Barometer shows. Only 12 percent predict better times, while 28 percent expect no change.
While the economic expectations of East and West Germans have converged, there are some significant differences between the individual population and electorate groups. Women are more pessimistic than men. 18 to 29-year-olds have much more positive expectations than the 45- to 59-year-olds.
The clearest differences among the electorate groups are between the sympathizers of the Greens and those of the AfD. Among the followers of the Greens is found with 48 percent of the lowest proportion of pessimists. The supporters of the AfD, on the other hand, are particularly skeptical with a share of 77 percent.
The RTL / n-tv Trend Barometer continuously asks how citizens rate economic development. From January 2018 to October 2019 alone, a total of 65,000 Germans were asked by the opinion research institute Forsa for their verdict. It shows that pessimism has grown significantly, especially this year.
Forsa Chief: Economic Situation Not Only Factor
As late as January 2018, the proportion of optimistic (26 percent) and the pessimistic (27 percent) expectations about the same size. At the time, 43 percent expected that everything would continue to run well. By the end of 2018, 42 percent of Germans were already expecting a deterioration and only 17 percent were expecting an improvement in the economic situation. In the course of 2019, the proportion of pessimists continued to rise – from 45 percent in January to 51 percent in July, to 56 percent at present.
"The assessment of the future development of the economy in Germany depends not only on the own economic situation," said Forsa boss Manfred Güllner the media group RTL. For example, the self-employed estimated the development a little more pessimistically than workers. "However, the economic expectations are strongly influenced by the party's decision," summarized Güllner. Although the net household income of AfD supporters is not lower than that of the average of all voters, they have the most pessimistic economic expectations.